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Republicans Spot Opportunity with Jewish Voters Amid Democratic Divisions Over Gaza Conflict

A Jewish student watches a protest against the war in Gaza at Columbia University on Nov. 14, 2023. The ongoing war has complicated the relationship between the Democratic Party and Jewish voters.

A Jewish pupil watches a protest in opposition to the conflict in Gaza at Columbia College on Nov. 14, 2023. The continuing conflict has difficult the connection between the Democratic Social gathering and Jewish voters.

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Spencer Platt/Getty Photographs

Jewish voters have been a dependable voting bloc for Democrats for many years, however the conflict between Israel and Hamas has difficult that relationship.

As Vice President Kamala Harris faces continued stress from progressives within the Democratic Social gathering to chop off army assist to Israel, some Republicans see a possibility to win over Jewish voters in key states.

“Israel is in, actually, the struggle for its existence,” former Minnesota Sen. Norm Coleman, now the nationwide chairman of the Republican Jewish Coalition, advised a room of supporters at a rustic membership in suburban Detroit on Monday. “The existence of the Jewish state is in danger at this time — each by way of conflict and battle … in addition to what occurs in america by way of whether or not our help is there unequivocally or whether or not of us are gonna step again.”

Some within the viewers wore crimson kippahs — a logo of their Judaism — with the phrase “TRUMP” printed on one aspect.

Sheila Weissman, from close by West Bloomfield, stood exterior the occasion clutching a number of yard indicators, together with one which learn “Kamala — Oy Vey.”

“It’s been a tepid response at greatest by this administration,” Weissman mentioned about antisemitism within the aftermath of the Oct. 7 assault on Israel by Hamas-led militants. The assault killed 1,200 individuals in Israel, in line with the Israeli authorities. Israel’s army response has killed at the very least 43,000 Palestinians in Gaza, in line with the Gaza Ministry of Well being.

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An indication studying “Kamala – Oy Vey” was on show exterior a latest look by Sen. Norm Coleman, nationwide chairman of the Republican Jewish Coalition, in suburban Detroit on Monday. Republicans see a possibility this election to win over Jewish voters in key states.

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Sarah McCammon/NPR

As a swing state voter, Weissman mentioned she’s involved about conflict within the Center East and antisemitism at dwelling.

A report launched by the Anti-Defamation League — utilizing an expanded definition of antisemitism to incorporate some anti-Zionist language — discovered a report variety of these sorts of incidents within the yr for the reason that Hamas assaults, together with hundreds surrounding left-wing anti-Israel demonstrations.

Weissman mentioned she thinks these realities may reshape voting patterns amongst Jewish People, who’ve traditionally sided overwhelmingly with Democrats.

“October seventh modified issues,” Weissman mentioned. “The issues that occurred on this nation on school campuses, I imply, it is simply actually terrifying.”

Weissman has heard the claims that former President Donald Trump has condoned antisemitic rhetoric. However she thinks his phrases are typically taken out of context. And she or he likes his report on Israel, together with his determination to maneuver the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem.

The RJC is investing $15 million within the 2024 marketing campaign, in an effort to win over Jewish voters in swing states by way of adverts, canvassing and different outreach. The group is highlighting Trump’s report of help for Israel, together with efforts to normalize relations between Israel and a few of its Arab neighbors by way of the settlement often known as the Abraham Accords.

RJC CEO Matt Brooks says it’s the group’s largest funding in a marketing campaign ever, partly as a result of he sees this yr as a possible “inflection level” for Jewish voters.

Many Jewish Democrats are nonetheless supporting Harris

Michigan State Sen. Jeremy Moss, a Jewish Democrat, says Jewish voters are involved about antisemitism throughout the political spectrum, however he believes they in the end will help the Democratic nominee as most have prior to now.

“Kamala Harris has held the road in opposition to these excessive voices that spout off antisemitism when discussing this Israel battle on the far left proper now,” Moss mentioned.

Moss — who has criticized Michigan Rep. Rashida Tlaib, a fellow Democrat, over her remarks about Israel — mentioned Harris has struck the correct tone relating to the battle. Harris has repeatedly mentioned she believes Israel has a proper to defend itself from threats throughout the area, and has known as for bringing Israeli hostages dwelling and defending Palestinian civilians.

“However then you definately have a look at the opposite aspect and Donald Trump platforms anti-Semitic extremism within the Republican Social gathering on the far proper,” Moss mentioned.

Moss mentioned most Jewish voters additionally align with Harris on different key points, together with abortion rights — which has turn into a serious focus of the Democrats’ closing message to voters throughout the nation.

Latest polls from the Jewish Democratic Council of America recommend these numbers are holding regular. However some others, together with one from the conservative Manhattan Institute, recommend what the group’s report characterised as “rising cracks in that help.”

Alan Cooperman, director of faith analysis on the Pew Analysis Heart, says small spiritual teams are tough to ballot precisely.

“I believe actually, no one is aware of,” he mentioned. “No person is aware of whether or not the Jewish vote is totally different on this election from previous presidential elections.”

Jews make up solely round 2% of america inhabitants, however many stay in swing states together with Michigan, Arizona and Pennsylvania — and even small teams could make a distinction in an in depth election.

At a Harris marketing campaign occasion on Monday within the essential state of Pennsylvania, second gentleman Doug Emhoff reiterated the vp’s dedication to supporting Israel and preventing antisemitism. Emhoff, who himself is Jewish, reminded the gang of the anniversary this week of the lethal mass capturing assault on a Pittsburgh synagogue in 2018.

“When Kamala is President, she is going to proceed to face with Israel and with the Jewish group — our group,” Emhoff mentioned. “She’s going to reject anti-Semitic hate and the notion that Israel doesn’t have the correct to exist.”

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